BY BRANKO GAPO
Release Date
Currently, there is no official information regarding the release date of the following NVIDIA GPU lineup. So, what do we know so far?
Based on NVIDIA’s official architecture roadmap, Ampere Next (or Ada Lovelace) has a planned 2022 release. By 2024, they believe they will have Ampere Next Next ready, which is supposedly the RTX 5000 series.
However, there are also talks that Nvidia might skip the 4000 naming scheme altogether and jump to 5000. So, RTX 5000 could be Ada Lovelace which means Ampere Next Next will be RTX 6000.
Kopite7kimi’s latest rumors point towards early Q3 for the Ada Lovelace release date. Nvidia’s latest earnings conference call supports these release date leaks.
“As we expect some ongoing impact as we prepare for a new architectural transition later in the year, we are projecting Gaming revenue to decline sequentially in Q2.” Chief Financial Officer Colette Kress, Nvidia Q1 2023 Earnings Call
If Nvidia expects that gaming revenue will drop in Q2, we can assume that they will soon announce RTX 4000, probably in July. Once this new series of GPUs are announced, RTX 3000 sales will most probably drop.
If the Ada Lovelace announcement is in July, a September 2022 release is highly likely.
An earlier release for Nvidia can be a huge win over AMD. Even if AMD comes out with an overall better GPU lineup, Nvidia will grab a large chunk of the market share.
Leaks suggest an increase of more than 7500 CUDA cores from the GA102 (3090, 3080) chip. This includes almost doubleGPC (Graphics Processing Clusters), 7 to 12, and 30 more TPC (Texture Processing Clusters).
Power Usage
There are multiple rumors that Ada Lovelace will have GPUs with TDP higher than 600W, but Moore’s Law Is Dead claims that these cards will not be able to draw more than 700W.
So, a realistic assumption is around 600W for an RTX 4090/4080.
These power usage-related assumptions are also supported by the fact that many power supply manufacturers are now switching over to 12-pin PCIe 5.0 power connectors with the capability to deliver 600W of power.
If the RTX 4090 is truly 450W and outputs performance twice faster than the RTX 3090, this card can be truly competitive against Navi 31. We can only hope it will be priced accordingly.
While 450W is still pretty high power usage, it seems these changes are necessary. Even the switch to 4nm might not be enough to tackle AMD’s new MCM-based GPUs.
AMD’s Navi 31 SKUs will also have a higher power draw, but the limit may be around 400W, which is still lower than Nvidia’s future flagship.
There are also rumors circulating about a new RTX Titan which could draw over 900W.
Performance
There are currently no benchmarks open to the public, so we can’t really determine the performance of the RTX 4000 series, but we have a few rumors to share.
Greymon55 has again provided some insight. Based on their claims, these new GPUs should bring double the performance and double the power consumption.
Price
It is impossible to guess how the pricing will look with the current info. However, since AMD’s RX 6000 series is on par with the RTX 3000 series in terms of performance (in some cases even better), NVIDIA will most likely stick with the exact pricing as Ampere.
So, the 4060 should be around $330 while the 4070 and 4080 for $500 and $700 respectively. We’re unsure about the 4090/Titan, though. Those two would cost more than $1000.
Unfortunately, there are some talks circulating that the jump to 4nm from TSMC could be a lot more expensive than we expected.
For example, the previously mentioned Twitter leak by kopite7kimi was a response to nerdtechgasm’s suggestion that 4nm NVIDIA is going to be very expensive for consumers.
Additionally, Nvidia is reportedly spending tens of billions of dollars to help the supply of RTX 4000 and future cards.
BY BRANKO GAPO
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